CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7cabe3e0825c0c87db7e1eecfca5b1aa30b1e1423744086501e9329c44c7ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof Lilmix, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Young Ninjas | 55c | 3,233$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.44 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Lilmix | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Lilmix | 39c | 583.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.3 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Lilmix | 35c | 418.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Young Ninjas | 28c | 413.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 413.02$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Lilmix | 35c | 399.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Lilmix | 36c | 388.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lilmix | 33c | 385.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 366.85$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Lilmix | 63c | 293.37$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lilmix | 35c | 288.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 40c | 204.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 204.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…66b6backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 201.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Young Ninjas | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Lilmix | 38c | 184.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Lilmix | 39c | 181.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Young Ninjas | 65c | 169.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Young Ninjas | 65c | 156.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 485 | 43.1%209 W · 276 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Young Ninjas | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 44c | 143.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 142.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 133.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…6ea8backed Young Ninjas | 22c | 130.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Lilmix | 35c | 96.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Lilmix | 43c | 95.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 58c | 94.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Young Ninjas | 61c | 86.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Lilmix | 35c | 68.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Lilmix | 34c | 66.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 60.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 60.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f553backed Lilmix | 38c | 51.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 46.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Young Ninjas | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Young Ninjas | 63c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 587 | 43.4%255 W · 332 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Young Ninjas | 43c | 29.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Lilmix | 58c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 27.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 PlayoffsYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Map Handicap: YN (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)Lilmix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.