Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee2fa2d9330265b1258f3fd018e3a29f98fe117d3abb3f0d94fd28760b08ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secretof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Team Secret | 27c | 4,098$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.75 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed Team Secret | 64c | 2,576$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Secret | 21c | 2,215$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.87 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 2,044$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.45 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nongshim RedForce | 23c | 1,377$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Secret | 21c | 1,017$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Team Secret | 7c | 722.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.58 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 662.43$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Secret | 65c | 628.25$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 597.46$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 545.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.48 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 428.16$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 374.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 247.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Nongshim RedForce | 30c | 209.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Secret | 50c | 206.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nongshim RedForce | 22c | 204.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 199.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 181.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 118.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Secret | 58c | 117.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Team Secret | 16c | 100.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Secret | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Secret | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Team Secret | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Team Secret | 24c | 88.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Secret | 17c | 76.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Team Secret | 53c | 75.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 19c | 74.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Team Secret | 21c | 72.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 71.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nongshim RedForce | 34c | 63.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…83b4backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 63.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Team Secret | 17c | 60.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +264.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Team Secret | 28c | 50.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 39.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Team Secret | 54c | 36.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…2cf9backed Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 35.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a20…ae0fbacked Team Secret | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Team Secret | 79c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 19.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…b5a4backed Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 14.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Team Secret won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.