Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2fe25713365513f3850cf05faede5cd77b723a5e2018409f7e760e72675a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 11,433$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.43 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Team Secret | 28c | 7,808$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.74 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Team Secret | 24c | 775$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Secret | 26c | 542$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Secret | 5c | 522.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Team Secret | 19c | 380.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Secret | 32c | 285.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Secret | 19c | 255.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Team Secret | 21c | 253.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Team Secret | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Secret | 16c | 142.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Secret | 26c | 111.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Secret | 15c | 95.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Secret | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Secret | 19c | 59.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Team Secret | 25c | 48.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Team Secret won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerTeam Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.