Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c05abbad6c47c0842f876afc647e3550b77a696c33937f614357d740caf126b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 60c | 593.5$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.39 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 27c | 290$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 178 | 32.6%58 W · 120 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 281.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 239.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 74c | 235.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 53c | 224.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 186$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 127.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 54c | 90.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 79.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 30c | 69.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 215 | 30.7%66 W · 149 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 62c | 67.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 63c | 57.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 31c | 55.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 45c | 54.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 49.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 57c | 48.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +260.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Under | 55c | 45.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Over | 51c | 31.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…0950backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 51c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.