Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9dac2d93c7ab19e4292cdd1459b4f875acb4d9f8da219ada2f7b14e401acc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof GIANTX, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…0935backed GIANTX | 36c | 10,508$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Shifters | 64c | 8,500$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Shifters | 63c | 2,374$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.52 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed GIANTX | 34c | 2,105$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.84 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked GIANTX | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Shifters | 62c | 1,637$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.91 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked GIANTX | 36c | 887.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shifters | 71c | 807.08$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Shifters | 64c | 600$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.48 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked Shifters | 65c | 569.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed GIANTX | 36c | 560.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Shifters | 62c | 497.47$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.54 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Shifters | 64c | 407$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Shifters | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shifters | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed Shifters | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Shifters | 20c | 306.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX | 35c | 291.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Shifters | 63c | 260.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed GIANTX | 35c | 254.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed GIANTX | 37c | 234.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Shifters | 45c | 220$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GIANTX | 72c | 200.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Shifters | 20c | 145.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked GIANTX | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed GIANTX | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Shifters | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shifters | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Shifters | 25c | 92.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked GIANTX | 38c | 88.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked GIANTX | 35c | 85.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed GIANTX | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed GIANTX | 50c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked GIANTX | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked Shifters | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Shifters | 51c | 52.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed GIANTX | 45c | 51.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX | 64c | 45.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed GIANTX | 37c | 41.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GIANTX | 26c | 38.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…a974backed Shifters | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX | 36c | 34.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed GIANTX | 61c | 32.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Shifters | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Shifters | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Shifters | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…9c26backed Shifters | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked GIANTX | 80c | 21.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed GIANTX | 78c | 21.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Shifters | 64c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.