CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a04279ddae781769c2d4e2df1ca731c69777c5541aafe3bdb3748f2e401d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 735.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BIG Academy | 27c | 607.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG Academy | 43c | 276.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked BIG Academy | 9c | 228.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 226.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed BIG Academy | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked BIG Academy | 21c | 165.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…d59fbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 156.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed BIG Academy | 30c | 131.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BIG Academy | 40c | 92.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG Academy | 38c | 71.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 69.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 52.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed BIG Academy | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 44.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 35.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerBIG Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.