CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd673b949d2eeede06cf977d3557dfc60f9a1c5ab23e3f2ac1899a8885d84792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Vasco Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 1,035$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…9a05backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 770$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 78c | 627.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vasco Esports | 22c | 617.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Vasco Esports | 37c | 378.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Vasco Esports | 54c | 370.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 358.86$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Vasco Esports | 29c | 349.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 333.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 313.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Vasco Esports | 36c | 313$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 66c | 312.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vasco Esports | 40c | 241.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Vasco Esports | 33c | 227$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…be8ebacked Vasco Esports | 25c | 200.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Vasco Esports | 51c | 192.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 182$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 157$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 132.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Vasco Esports | 22c | 125.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Vasco Esports | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Vasco Esports | 23c | 116.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vasco Esports | 30c | 107.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 63c | 101.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Vasco Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Vasco Esports | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Vasco Esports | 32c | 92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Vasco Esports | 32c | 86.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vasco Esports | 39c | 83.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Vasco Esports | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 67.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Vasco Esports | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Vasco Esports | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vasco Esports | 54c | 53.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Vasco Esports | 60c | 46.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed Vasco Esports | 22c | 45.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 43.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Vasco Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Fake do Biru | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Fake do Biru | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.