Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83831f166529ba3574a6cb237b0b3de9ca6c0a7aa7d233f52f224f7627bd4f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 548.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 52c | 422.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked Under | 57c | 174.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 136.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Over | 48c | 114.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 76.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 53c | 65.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 46c | 55.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 54.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 55c | 50.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 79c | 42.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Over | 48c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 65c | 38.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 47c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.