TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HANJIN BRIONof BNK FEARX, HANJIN BRION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40ea…832fbacked BNK FEARX39c40,154$15,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,484.3320339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed HANJIN BRION61c36,273$22,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,114.1754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BNK FEARX40c6,433$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.0891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BNK FEARX35c5,996$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.6667552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked HANJIN BRION62c4,500$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71070456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HANJIN BRION60c3,866$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.642,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX37c2,722$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.11,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed BNK FEARX40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9811249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…476cbacked HANJIN BRION61c1,644$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed HANJIN BRION62c1,631$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.621,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked BNK FEARX40c1,622$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.92138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed HANJIN BRION63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5551,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked HANJIN BRION66c1,388$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.072540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed HANJIN BRION65c1,299$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.642638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked HANJIN BRION65c1,255$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1222142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed HANJIN BRION63c1,190$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4849847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked HANJIN BRION65c1,169$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.152556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed HANJIN BRION62c999.98$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked HANJIN BRION62c887.92$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.411,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed HANJIN BRION65c880.3$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.36434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed HANJIN BRION65c871$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.851735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked BNK FEARX25c822.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9614352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed BNK FEARX40c755.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed HANJIN BRION62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26664453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX38c638.36$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.581,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed HANJIN BRION75c624.93$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2323832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked HANJIN BRION60c507.32$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.932454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked HANJIN BRION60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked BNK FEARX41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed HANJIN BRION64c343.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7547933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked HANJIN BRION65c342$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked BNK FEARX38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked BNK FEARX40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX36c285.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.781,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce51…1ddbbacked BNK FEARX38c276.32$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512657.9%73 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed BNK FEARX38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed BNK FEARX38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked BNK FEARX38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked BNK FEARX44c239.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10544046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed BNK FEARX41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.516753.3%89 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HANJIN BRION62c133$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.546142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked HANJIN BRION58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.461,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked BNK FEARX37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed HANJIN BRION62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3831650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.521859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked BNK FEARX36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3642751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked HANJIN BRION61c99.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed BNK FEARX43c95.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4124642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked HANJIN BRION57c95.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed BNK FEARX39c79.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1917744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked BNK FEARX38c78.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7832053.8%172 W · 148 L+21.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked HANJIN BRION66c66.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4416853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed HANJIN BRION64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6512…213bbacked HANJIN BRION64c62.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e24…b6d5backed HANJIN BRION63c55.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed BNK FEARX38c55.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111351.3%58 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked BNK FEARX38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed HANJIN BRION60c52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.87626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BNK FEARX39c49.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.391,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed BNK FEARX40c42.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed HANJIN BRION59c39.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2775150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed BNK FEARX36c36.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed HANJIN BRION60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed HANJIN BRION63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16342.9%27 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked HANJIN BRION69c29.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2730255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked BNK FEARX38c28.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fc…db71backed HANJIN BRION70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.577369.9%51 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX39c28.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.186144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed HANJIN BRION74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0317060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed HANJIN BRION61c17.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6926154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.