TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64f7…afa6backed Young Ninjas69c4,829$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.119852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports31c2,153$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.152,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Young Ninjas64c1,540$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.775052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports30c1,520$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas65c1,266$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.214,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640e…66c1backed Fire Flux Esports2c1,225$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.962330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports36c1,145$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Fire Flux Esports34c1,053$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9557641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports32c968.46$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.625,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Fire Flux Esports36c845.32$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4633044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Young Ninjas50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38837445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports37c688.45$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.835,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fire Flux Esports32c547.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.561,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Fire Flux Esports33c442.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas67c440.61$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.61,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Young Ninjas64c413.15$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7318341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce95…e0cdbacked Fire Flux Esports27c350.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports31c328.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.587,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fire Flux Esports36c307.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.611,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf156…62b9backed Young Ninjas64c303.62$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.881040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Young Ninjas69c303.35$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed Fire Flux Esports33c299.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9923146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Young Ninjas61c266.72$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.027040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked Fire Flux Esports39c247.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Fire Flux Esports34c240.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6549143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed Fire Flux Esports38c225.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.624257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked Young Ninjas80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404060%24 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports27c178.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.584,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc389…d228backed Fire Flux Esports11c166.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Young Ninjas63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4311061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ed…a802backed Young Ninjas65c150.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f0…eb05backed Fire Flux Esports27c149.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Fire Flux Esports34c139.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd969…b08bbacked Fire Flux Esports31c125.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.398230.5%25 W · 57 L-10.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Fire Flux Esports32c123.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.773548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Young Ninjas62c113.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1214443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Young Ninjas65c96.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.924557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cc7…9194backed Fire Flux Esports34c96.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.949251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Fire Flux Esports32c88.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fire Flux Esports38c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.472,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Fire Flux Esports30c86.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8717930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Young Ninjas63c85.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7670038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Fire Flux Esports29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Fire Flux Esports36c77.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6220553.2%109 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Young Ninjas63c75.58$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3145450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Fire Flux Esports28c72.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.052,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Fire Flux Esports26c67.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6736434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fire Flux Esports23c61.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…33c3backed Fire Flux Esports42c54.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5db7…a264backed Fire Flux Esports29c52.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.312025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Fire Flux Esports26c47.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Fire Flux Esports41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Fire Flux Esports37c45.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Young Ninjas66c44.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1418850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x591f…f067backed Young Ninjas67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Young Ninjas66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.615965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Fire Flux Esports47c37.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.434562.2%28 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Fire Flux Esports42c34.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.486959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…348ebacked Young Ninjas60c33.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb4…7c31backed Young Ninjas64c32.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Fire Flux Esports36c32.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.545455.6%30 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Young Ninjas70c31.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4340253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Young Ninjas66c30.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2961054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Young Ninjas64c29.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.828648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Young Ninjas56c29.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Young Ninjas67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6633657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f3e…6b69backed Young Ninjas67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.669568.4%65 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ce…2ea5backed Fire Flux Esports41c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Young Ninjas67c28.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Young Ninjas68c28.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b3…cbe0backed Young Ninjas69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823680.6%29 W · 7 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed Young Ninjas68c23.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Young Ninjas68c22.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3947260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ba…8faebacked Young Ninjas68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…d047backed Young Ninjas68c20.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…8c67backed Young Ninjas67c20.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.562842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff8e…c81abacked Young Ninjas62c17.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce22…5704backed Young Ninjas69c17.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.352941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…5bbfbacked Young Ninjas67c16.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.529844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.