Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a779fb20a6716767913d3f4783abb653cf3563dd2bb97959512519d596fd6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed MIBR | 41c | 5,416$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.61 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports | 37c | 2,951$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.01 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed MIBR | 70c | 2,285$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.54 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Leviatán Esports | 53c | 1,586$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.6 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR | 54c | 1,465$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.82 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 60c | 1,254$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.22 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR | 63c | 1,068$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.22 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MIBR | 57c | 776.93$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.18 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Leviatán Esports | 56c | 745.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Leviatán Esports | 44c | 688.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 57c | 586.69$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked MIBR | 50c | 484.35$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MIBR | 63c | 479.21$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 468.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 409.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MIBR | 61c | 390.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leviatán Esports | 57c | 370.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 35c | 344.47$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed MIBR | 64c | 329.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 308.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Leviatán Esports | 44c | 305.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR | 58c | 296.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Leviatán Esports | 57c | 275.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…5f66backed MIBR | 49c | 265.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Leviatán Esports | 31c | 245.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports | 51c | 235$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked Leviatán Esports | 23c | 216.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed MIBR | 59c | 216.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Leviatán Esports | 52c | 212.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 208.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed MIBR | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIBR | 59c | 190.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatán Esports | 29c | 187.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Leviatán Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leviatán Esports | 44c | 166.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MIBR | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leviatán Esports | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Leviatán Esports | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Leviatán Esports | 23c | 110.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Leviatán Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Leviatán Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed MIBR | 61c | 88.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Leviatán Esports | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MIBR | 51c | 58.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Leviatán Esports | 44c | 58.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Leviatán Esports | 37c | 53.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports | 39c | 53.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 47.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f1…21fabacked Leviatán Esports | 37c | 44.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked MIBR | 58c | 43.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked MIBR | 70c | 43.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…ffcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 26c | 42.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…653cbacked Leviatán Esports | 57c | 37.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 37.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed MIBR | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Leviatán Esports | 39c | 32.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leviatán Esports | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Leviatán Esports | 41c | 26.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed MIBR | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MIBR | 67c | 25.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 23.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leviatán Esports | 59c | 22.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.