Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd290e1cd1d6767c400cd0b44f1ad2b2bd2a6e1efafed559ab1039cc84edeb4ef

Rebuilt 45 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: MIBRof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,995 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed MIBR	25c	4,154$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,115.74	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports	45c	3,777$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,691.58	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Leviatán Esports	47c	2,671$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.82	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports	46c	2,254$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.34	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports	54c	1,964$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.18	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR	44c	1,903$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.96	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports	43c	1,614$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.09	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed MIBR	42c	1,376$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$794.42	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR	43c	1,300$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.63	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Leviatán Esports	63c	982.11$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.39	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Leviatán Esports	52c	873.05$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	173	32.4%56 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51c9…29e5backed Leviatán Esports	72c	750.29$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.06	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed MIBR	34c	704.7$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.7	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed MIBR	36c	654.75$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.77	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd3…bd26backed MIBR	23c	653.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.48	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+69.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked MIBR	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed MIBR	39c	600$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR	67c	433.66$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.16	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Leviatán Esports	38c	391.32$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.4	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Leviatán Esports	47c	379.58$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.2	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports	62c	367$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.13	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Leviatán Esports	41c	305.61$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR	54c	289.38$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.9	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR	40c	274$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.02	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb003…d62dbacked MIBR	53c	252.83$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.83	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Leviatán Esports	78c	227.54$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.77	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked MIBR	46c	225.7$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.06	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Leviatán Esports	69c	216$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.04	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed MIBR	48c	212.65$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.54	174	48.3%84 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	366	48.4%177 W · 189 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Leviatán Esports	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed MIBR	21c	172.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.66	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+100.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR	38c	168.86$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.92	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR	44c	163.69$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.72	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatán Esports	41c	162.32$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.82	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MIBR	52c	153$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.44	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Leviatán Esports	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Leviatán Esports	45c	142$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.59	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7de…5f66backed MIBR	55c	134.55$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.55	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed MIBR	45c	132.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Leviatán Esports	62c	117.98$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Leviatán Esports	23c	109.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	253	36.4%92 W · 161 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed MIBR	27c	105$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.65	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Leviatán Esports	61c	101.54$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.87	310	46.5%144 W · 166 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked MIBR	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed MIBR	53c	94.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.59	80	62.5%50 W · 30 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR	27c	89$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.97	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MIBR	30c	83.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	244	57.8%141 W · 103 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed MIBR	49c	79$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.45	264	36%95 W · 169 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Leviatán Esports	49c	78$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatán Esports	52c	73.57$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed MIBR	40c	68.05$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	159	31.4%50 W · 109 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Leviatán Esports	48c	63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	235	48.5%114 W · 121 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked Leviatán Esports	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Leviatán Esports	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.64	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked MIBR	49c	47.91$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked MIBR	28c	46$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Leviatán Esports	73c	43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32be…2cddbacked Leviatán Esports	47c	42.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed MIBR	50c	40.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Leviatán Esports	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	267	58.8%157 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed MIBR	46c	34.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed MIBR	38c	34.94$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.64	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports	54c	30.06$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed MIBR	55c	28.35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	175	55.4%97 W · 78 L	+12.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Leviatán Esports	55c	26.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe61b…9212backed Leviatán Esports	79c	25.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed MIBR	45c	25.11$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Leviatán Esports	59c	22.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed MIBR	48c	20.94$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	218	59.2%129 W · 89 L	+14.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leviatán Esports	62c	16.6$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Leviatán Esports	73c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)MIBR won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaMIBR won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event