TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32be…2cdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.69
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+166.3%+$57.95
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.39
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$48.33
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$49.23
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.95
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.3%+$40.78
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.91
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.89
Valorant: MIBR Female vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+60.5%+$67.83
All 19 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$27.35
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.06
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.05
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$68.45
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19sbacked India Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+50.7%+$25.37
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.58
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.