Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5604329fee713a68f4faa9d3014614c7486525864a11f2ebb054179a0c362e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,161,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,094,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,161,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa12…e785backed No | 1c | 416,379$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,881.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 1c | 313,721$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.42 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…1858backed Yes | 78c | 278,416$218,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,232.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…9f87backed No | 1c | 258,323$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 74c | 248,844$184,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,500.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28cc…ed23backed No | 1c | 222,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 5c | 177,481$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,290.66 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 1c | 158,201$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.21 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed No | 3c | 141,950$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked No | 4c | 132,794$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.72 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…af46backed No | 1c | 125,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe084…93acbacked No | 1c | 111,638$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed No | 4c | 100,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 99,895$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.48 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked No | 1c | 92,809$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed No | 1c | 79,160$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…ba57backed No | 1c | 78,139$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…1a14backed No | 1c | 64,327$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…0e91backed No | 2c | 63,349$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 4c | 60,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…c982backed No | 14c | 59,700$8,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,651.99 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed No | 1c | 59,408$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…0d83backed No | 1c | 54,984$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…0238backed No | 1c | 54,497$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…e29ebacked No | 1c | 48,979$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…d144backed No | 1c | 48,272$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…0f4ebacked No | 6c | 47,878$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…d7e3backed No | 1c | 45,163$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…c3c4backed No | 1c | 44,579$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f5…9663backed No | 1c | 42,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 25c | 41,379$10,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…f1aebacked No | 1c | 39,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 2c | 37,721$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 35,945$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…d3a5backed No | 1c | 34,891$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…a5afbacked No | 1c | 34,639$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 77c | 32,842$25,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…29e9backed No | 1c | 28,891$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed No | 14c | 28,064$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…928fbacked No | 1c | 26,573$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c9…d561backed No | 2c | 26,366$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 25,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.91 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…2ad1backed No | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b477backed No | 1c | 24,415$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 1c | 24,277$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…501fbacked No | 1c | 22,541$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ed84backed No | 1c | 22,242$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…55b5backed No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a4…c3ccbacked No | 1c | 19,961$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 5c | 19,000$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 69c | 18,981$13,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…2cc5backed Yes | 80c | 18,800$15,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 9c | 18,523$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.13 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f0…bdd3backed No | 2c | 18,258$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…d969backed No | 1c | 17,178$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 13c | 17,145$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.55 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…c2dbbacked No | 1c | 16,360$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 67c | 16,140$10,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.49 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…25d5backed No | 3c | 15,659$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…c8b9backed No | 1c | 15,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…6f01backed Yes | 73c | 14,879$10,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…8221backed Yes | 71c | 14,716$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked No | 3c | 14,551$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…9189backed No | 1c | 14,342$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…87b4backed No | 1c | 14,003$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…7990backed No | 1c | 14,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…1432backed No | 7c | 13,323$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…bd72backed No | 3c | 13,187$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…3fdebacked No | 17c | 11,765$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11a…ed58backed No | 1c | 11,759$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…1bc1backed No | 1c | 11,614$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…f51fbacked No | 1c | 11,465$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed No | 3c | 11,344$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe568…30edbacked No | 1c | 11,309$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…e7f8backed No | 1c | 11,266$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed No | 6c | 11,238$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c3a7backed No | 1c | 11,180$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…0e7abacked No | 1c | 11,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…1588backed No | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…39bebacked No | 1c | 11,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…52d3backed No | 1c | 10,916$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 59c | 10,831$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…0c79backed No | 1c | 10,781$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…c7f7backed No | 2c | 10,540$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…7ff5backed No | 1c | 10,506$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 76c | 10,407$7,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.27 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 1c | 10,271$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…6b0fbacked No | 1c | 10,081$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…8483backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed No | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed No | 5c | 10,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…34a2backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…7d45backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…f9ecbacked No | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 4c | 10,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed No | 1c | 9,978$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…05fbbacked No | 1c | 9,956$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8342backed No | 1c | 9,900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…822ebacked No | 2c | 9,873$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.