Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7050a33a8444389ef1800e4476b43a987ff72668be0b616a4b457f5ba944a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,544,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,740,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,544,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 3,080,833$7,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,396.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 0c | 2,999,998$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 1,699,897$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 0c | 1,363,717$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…7fb5backed Yes | 0c | 616,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 550,195$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.75 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 490,676$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.37 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 333,286$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.78 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…718fbacked Yes | 1c | 327,440$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 277,839$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.88 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 270,730$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.92 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 0c | 252,217$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…0aadbacked Yes | 1c | 231,237$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 222,587$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.89 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 213,125$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.24 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 0c | 208,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0216…55b5backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…404abacked Yes | 0c | 198,490$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Yes | 0c | 180,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…8cf7backed Yes | 0c | 179,120$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 1c | 160,007$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…e907backed Yes | 0c | 139,900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…532abacked Yes | 0c | 114,130$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…fb31backed Yes | 0c | 100,230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…29e9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…0d83backed Yes | 0c | 99,660$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…9251backed Yes | 0c | 98,810$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 0c | 85,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…de9fbacked Yes | 0c | 79,670$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…68b8backed Yes | 0c | 77,467$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 1c | 76,675$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…1ca0backed Yes | 0c | 72,170$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 66,466$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…e55abacked Yes | 1c | 61,253$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…258cbacked Yes | 0c | 61,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5a1dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,530$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 57,250$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 54,962$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 54,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…6e66backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…a81cbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…ba57backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afd…1161backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…c203backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d9…6a1fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,940$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130e…f8ffbacked Yes | 2c | 49,899$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…d764backed Yes | 0c | 49,490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 0c | 48,130$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…1bbdbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…5758backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…fee9backed Yes | 2c | 38,724$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…b259backed Yes | 1c | 38,484$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 38,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 36,418$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc333…466fbacked Yes | 1c | 35,522$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb23…3797backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…aeb1backed Yes | 1c | 33,723$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…f264backed Yes | 1c | 33,098$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…8309backed Yes | 1c | 31,342$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…a223backed Yes | 1c | 30,359$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…aedbbacked Yes | 2c | 30,332$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…2542backed Yes | 1c | 29,806$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…8eccbacked Yes | 1c | 26,842$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3d5abacked Yes | 1c | 25,883$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f6…c962backed Yes | 0c | 25,655$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8b…0aeabacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2789…96a2backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…b738backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…e8e4backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…9136backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…962ebacked Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5eb…e221backed Yes | 0c | 23,810$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…18efbacked Yes | 1c | 23,787$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Yes | 0c | 22,570$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…ff7cbacked Yes | 1c | 21,180$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…3186backed Yes | 0c | 20,810$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…e263backed Yes | 2c | 20,792$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…bfd8backed Yes | 0c | 20,563$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 20,179$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ffb2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…db91backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a1…c652backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…6221backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…e683backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…06fabacked Yes | 1c | 19,538$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed Yes | 1c | 19,384$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…3b53backed Yes | 1c | 17,400$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…1538backed Yes | 1c | 17,384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…4c9fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,000$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 15,439$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…28b1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f83…1353backed Yes | 1c | 14,500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 1c | 13,458$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.