Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dbbf4cbb4cbca7c5967bfe92c0bd1667ac508fecb1e548c01def1a8cb43ea53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,150,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,879,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,150,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 1,514,402$4,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,572.76 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…c637backed Yes | 1c | 956,858$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Yes | 1c | 829,997$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 731,795$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.39 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 678,681$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 636,379$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.5 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af6…25afbacked Yes | 0c | 504,382$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 503,987$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 0c | 491,115$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.7 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…7fb5backed Yes | 1c | 480,502$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…0e91backed Yes | 1c | 465,696$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 407,988$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.95 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…f159backed Yes | 1c | 368,895$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…774bbacked Yes | 0c | 314,183$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…a5afbacked Yes | 1c | 312,357$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…ae6cbacked Yes | 1c | 246,816$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 238,653$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.12 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 202,015$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…f9ecbacked Yes | 1c | 193,833$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…7a63backed Yes | 2c | 172,797$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Yes | 1c | 169,404$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…5c3abacked Yes | 0c | 165,855$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9b…18efbacked Yes | 0c | 165,685$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…1b2fbacked Yes | 1c | 163,414$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 159,599$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…2813backed Yes | 1c | 156,952$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f4…c7d7backed Yes | 2c | 156,313$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 2c | 130,428$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80be…928fbacked Yes | 0c | 123,000$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b86…0311backed Yes | 1c | 112,004$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…f5eebacked Yes | 0c | 106,695$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 101,544$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.8 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…79a9backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…02c7backed Yes | 0c | 99,010$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…2c4fbacked Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…04a5backed Yes | 2c | 95,093$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…2019backed Yes | 1c | 91,628$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -79%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…3267backed Yes | 0c | 83,605$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…f4c4backed Yes | 1c | 73,400$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…2314backed Yes | 2c | 71,407$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…bb90backed Yes | 0c | 70,500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…6da8backed Yes | 0c | 69,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…2cb8backed Yes | 0c | 67,645$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 65,999$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.49 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa39…822ebacked Yes | 0c | 65,376$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 1c | 65,348$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 1c | 52,120$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.78 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked Yes | 1c | 51,517$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfb…a57ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 1c | 51,012$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…3af6backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…0136backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d014backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…41acbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…4a9abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…5758backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…c4c6backed Yes | 0c | 49,986$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…a58ebacked Yes | 1c | 48,503$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…28b1backed Yes | 0c | 48,464$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…2542backed Yes | 1c | 48,067$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…d223backed Yes | 0c | 47,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…04ddbacked Yes | 1c | 47,195$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…5511backed Yes | 1c | 47,170$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…bd47backed Yes | 0c | 46,330$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…a359backed Yes | 1c | 46,158$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…c8b9backed Yes | 1c | 45,704$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 0c | 45,001$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…f367backed Yes | 0c | 44,440$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18d…55e3backed Yes | 1c | 44,280$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…0a05backed Yes | 1c | 43,733$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…46a7backed Yes | 1c | 42,148$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…12b3backed Yes | 1c | 41,979$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…aa47backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…aa35backed Yes | 1c | 40,629$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…2ad1backed Yes | 0c | 40,299$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…29e9backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…c4a6backed Yes | 0c | 39,755$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 1c | 38,717$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.41 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed Yes | 1c | 38,524$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…6480backed Yes | 1c | 38,432$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…46abbacked Yes | 0c | 38,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 3c | 38,330$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed Yes | 2c | 36,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 1c | 36,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…5b70backed Yes | 1c | 34,418$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 34,400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…a81cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…9cbabacked Yes | 1c | 33,107$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…4455backed Yes | 0c | 32,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…1175backed Yes | 0c | 32,387$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 2c | 31,816$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…716bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…3b89backed Yes | 0c | 28,962$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…d764backed Yes | 0c | 28,730$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.