TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed FURIA Esports49c59,829$29,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,532.355955.9%33 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG58c30,411$17,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,640.5826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG51c29,245$14,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,916.1312951.2%66 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed NRG54c15,201$8,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,166.4954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked NRG51c3,235$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.8510455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed FURIA Esports47c2,757$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.523537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x826c…cd27backed NRG58c2,615$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked NRG1c2,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+53.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG53c2,380$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.315242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed FURIA Esports66c2,078$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.697565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed NRG1c2,071$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1123146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA Esports40c1,979$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.7721558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked NRG60c1,740$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.671353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed NRG1c1,438$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.95790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked NRG58c1,398$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.5726650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG32c1,191$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.853355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked NRG4c1,121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.838828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NRG13c1,026$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3730147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da9…13ecbacked NRG28c847.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd6…f1e4backed NRG54c830$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce22…5704backed NRG57c785.75$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FURIA Esports45c774.46$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9518056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked NRG55c772.74$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.452360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports43c722.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports42c714.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed NRG38c714.29$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed NRG4c687$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports58c600.52$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.770251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde5…32b5backed FURIA Esports47c547.71$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.292138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed NRG55c528.68$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.77456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed FURIA Esports44c487.75$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1928247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG51c485.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked NRG6c477$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.216924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62d6…90dfbacked NRG55c456.37$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.041450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed NRG4c415$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1213035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…328dbacked NRG57c399.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FURIA Esports64c399.67$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3217537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA Esports69c385.78$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7240731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed NRG4c378$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4826730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG53c377.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3353442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed NRG56c351.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.681741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed FURIA Esports68c348.69$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.049142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports41c347.4$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports58c338.21$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.171,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked NRG40c333.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4745033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d80…ef57backed NRG53c332.58$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed FURIA Esports44c332.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.015232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked FURIA Esports75c332.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.046053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed NRG9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports45c307.56$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.341,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG54c271.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NRG16c268.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.567934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x247a…7248backed NRG50c267.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed NRG60c261.71$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.619953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports49c252.04$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.949148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed NRG10c240$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3611841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FURIA Esports69c232.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2131227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked NRG25c223.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.383050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed NRG19c204.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.224946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG57c203.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.441,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed NRG51c190.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed NRG56c174.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3510225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed FURIA Esports47c166.43$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2143059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ac…0317backed NRG48c163.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.471145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed NRG12c163.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.949255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed NRG9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5613336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed NRG9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5612633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed NRG9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5614436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed NRG9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5615839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG30c158.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked NRG14c149.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.892835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed NRG55c142.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.64520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed FURIA Esports38c132.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ad…e6abbacked FURIA Esports47c131.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed FURIA Esports52c116.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.156250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked NRG31c115$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.242051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed FURIA Esports45c111.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.166759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…619dbacked NRG54c109.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked NRG15c109.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0715217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed NRG55c106.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports48c104.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5821240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed NRG21c104.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.571435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked FURIA Esports61c103.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0716442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked FURIA Esports47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5921144.1%93 W · 118 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed FURIA Esports56c96.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.369859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed FURIA Esports64c90.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.735240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked NRG56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.684738.3%18 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked NRG62c84.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2414152.5%74 W · 67 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed FURIA Esports47c76.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed NRG58c67.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9823463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…22b6backed FURIA Esports74c66.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked FURIA Esports44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.914747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed FURIA Esports56c62.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked NRG35c61.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7315512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa656…fc5ebacked FURIA Esports56c55.77$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.542070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed FURIA Esports44c52.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54f…977cbacked NRG55c49.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…7b80backed NRG52c49.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…c619backed NRG51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed NRG42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.319945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.