TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x793c…22b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT4744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$48.29
Counter-Strike: playersclub vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$32.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40.71
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+160%+$17.78
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$44.77
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$28.65
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.15
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked bond1e · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.41
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Imperial Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$128.43
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.65
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.85
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$91.05
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$50.59
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.9
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$37.39
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$22.82
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.76
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.03
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$11.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gilbert Burns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$87.27
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.22
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.34
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108%+$20.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.97
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Estoril Praia vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$46.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EVOPLAY vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked EVOPLAY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.84
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35%+$17.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+74%+$22.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.