TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Solary, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Solary47c5,961$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.1969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Misa Esports62c5,215$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.2696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports64c5,041$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.1366437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa3…4e0ebacked Misa Esports0c4,718$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.572347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Solary49c4,421$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.271,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Solary56c4,018$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.0553355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Misa Esports65c3,815$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.0911060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Solary45c3,473$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Misa Esports64c3,043$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.5367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Solary34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.9961045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Misa Esports1c2,822$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2215541.9%65 W · 90 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports63c2,530$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.582,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Solary39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5258458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Solary36c2,325$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.9939246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports41c2,250$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.081,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Misa Esports39c2,189$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85718554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Misa Esports60c2,019$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.4123754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Solary41c1,922$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.681,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Misa Esports32c1,901$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4735346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Solary37c1,792$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.3996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Misa Esports32c1,779$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.835343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Solary31c1,541$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.3482953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Solary35c1,471$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.72,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Solary29c1,470$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.7295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Solary34c1,393$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.7575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Solary76c1,376$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.214363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Solary46c1,263$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.161,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Solary40c1,157$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.481,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Solary39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Misa Esports59c991.53$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.551838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Misa Esports7c949.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Solary23c904.76$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.6226443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Solary38c876.48$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8285746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Solary37c865.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.5734536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Misa Esports66c860$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.654246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.72,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Misa Esports61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.31,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Misa Esports47c774.44$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2750646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Solary37c750$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Misa Esports47c727.2$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.727254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…c9ccbacked Misa Esports62c722.72$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0910851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Misa Esports21c714.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.031,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Misa Esports30c707.7$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3144042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Misa Esports60c684.51$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9118742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed Solary60c653.18$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5211258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Solary45c629.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.981,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Solary60c623.13$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8436643.7%160 W · 206 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Misa Esports61c622.44$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6917057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Misa Esports38c582.58$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4551044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports9c582$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.972,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Solary46c580$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.559347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee3…67debacked Misa Esports54c532.88$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Misa Esports79c500.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3873237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Solary45c498.74$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2315357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Misa Esports27c461.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4135533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Misa Esports67c438.9$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.0626844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Misa Esports26c418.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.689743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary39c402.79$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67eb…3aa2backed Misa Esports63c402.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.971258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Misa Esports65c382.79$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.382740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa386…2455backed Misa Esports65c378.06$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Solary42c376.47$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3540435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…7adfbacked Solary71c354.19$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3518836.7%69 W · 119 L-0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102c…7b22backed Solary51c343.49$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.46168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Misa Esports61c334$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7410738.3%41 W · 66 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Misa Esports66c319$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.543369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed2…2e4dbacked Misa Esports66c314.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Misa Esports64c301.28$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0610760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Misa Esports38c299.28$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Solary42c289.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Misa Esports37c270.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9969841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports38c256.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Solary39c252.92$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Misa Esports59c249.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4714248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Misa Esports60c242.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5968443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Solary43c240.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Solary40c238.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7666947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports62c232.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Solary42c232.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8513652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Misa Esports51c231.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9557947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Misa Esports72c227.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a1…1606backed Misa Esports25c223.57$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x835f…6ff7backed Misa Esports55c222.59$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.837862.8%49 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports60c208.53$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9255744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Misa Esports12c206.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4330731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Solary24c201.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5439940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Misa Esports62c200.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.126164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Misa Esports62c199.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Misa Esports61c195.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.561,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Solary69c189.84$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5122867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b98…2919backed Solary42c184.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Misa Esports45c182.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4848747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Misa Esports69c169.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2223341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Solary39c168$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4892342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Misa Esports62c156.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8570057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Misa Esports63c155.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7835164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Misa Esports32c154.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0516950.3%85 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.