TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaryof Solary, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43ff…a491backed Solary41c10,773$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,332.0318554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Misa Esports61c9,733$5,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,913.924544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Solary39c7,452$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,569.648458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Solary43c6,402$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.3311060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports60c5,928$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.9366437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Solary58c5,185$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.8569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Misa Esports63c3,607$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.1367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Misa Esports54c3,437$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.1484360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports63c3,407$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.392,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Misa Esports28c3,250$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Solary49c2,763$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5243442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Misa Esports65c2,418$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.91,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary49c2,404$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.181,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports54c2,184$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.421,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Solary53c1,600$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74835546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Misa Esports8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Misa Esports45c1,480$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Solary40c1,477$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.6961645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Solary36c1,447$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.0928827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Solary40c1,157$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.081,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Misa Esports62c1,105$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.8923754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Misa Esports61c1,070$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.441,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Solary50c1,056$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.6412349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Misa Esports65c994.31$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.31,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Misa Esports48c916.6$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.8182953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Solary35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5851,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Misa Esports61c878.84$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.091838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Solary34c853.06$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0290937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Solary40c838.68$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.218644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary31c803.95$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4586451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Solary65c749.29$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3676642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Misa Esports53c699.98$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4914248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Solary39c699.98$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.4996350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Solary36c693.54$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4617041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Solary54c645.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6927254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Solary44c628.62$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Solary63c601.92$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3695541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Solary40c578.14$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7834536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Solary45c536.49$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2215742.7%67 W · 90 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary40c526.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.11,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Solary72c514.7$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4833251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Solary57c507.72$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2554555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Solary40c499.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.811,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Misa Esports22c466.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9139239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Solary55c458.84$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.052,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Misa Esports37c421.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15526937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Misa Esports49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19656341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed Misa Esports5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Solary42c395.03$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8830035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Solary37c377.45$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8126443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Misa Esports31c361.62$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.386753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Solary69c355.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1117150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Misa Esports56c355.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.93369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Misa Esports48c347.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6813652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a9…9167backed Solary47c344.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.092356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary43c339.48$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.872,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Misa Esports66c332.41$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1310760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Misa Esports9c317.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed Solary45c304.23$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.721267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Misa Esports56c281.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2120550.2%103 W · 102 L+15.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Solary51c278.68$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.869743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Solary35c263.88$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3114454.2%78 W · 66 L+16.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports58c244.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.361,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Misa Esports40c241.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5380750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Misa Esports62c225.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7266947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Solary55c224.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.011,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5a…1457backed Misa Esports35c222.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6436743.6%160 W · 207 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Solary46c216.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8335164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Misa Esports21c216.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Misa Esports45c213.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2218053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Solary38c208.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.021,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked Misa Esports24c202.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.215556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x102c…7b22backed Misa Esports59c202.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.526168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Misa Esports60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Solary35c200$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.870744.1%312 W · 395 L-22.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Solary41c199.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9915031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Solary37c192.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.165745.6%26 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Solary50c190.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.257151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6275…d0e6backed Solary41c188.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.051546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Solary55c184.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.315343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Solary53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1835633.7%120 W · 236 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa386…2455backed Solary42c182.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.831050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Solary43c181.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9750158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8339…65dabacked Misa Esports18c180.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.292420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd989…dcbabacked Solary43c179.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4216863.7%107 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Solary49c179.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.672,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4496…0847backed Misa Esports65c178$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8820547.8%98 W · 107 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Solary40c165.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.592,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Misa Esports59c164.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5633237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Misa Esports30c161.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.895540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Solary77c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.674462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Solary79c157.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.183740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Misa Esports62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7217057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Misa Esports28c148.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0641651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337e…9b4ebacked Misa Esports17c148.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632554.8%178 W · 147 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Misa Esports13c147.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9563540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Solary45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7716555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Misa Esports61c138.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6514154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Solary50c133.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7216950.3%85 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.