TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Solary, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Solary1c24,616$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.932844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Misa Esports56c8,797$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.5867056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Solary37c6,260$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.1932440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Solary39c5,000$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9258458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports60c4,994$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.6866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports62c4,961$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.4169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports59c3,723$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.471,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Solary43c3,686$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.4964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Solary46c3,488$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.192,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Solary1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Solary25c3,007$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.554246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports70c2,946$2,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.82,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Misa Esports58c2,750$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.0626443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Solary36c2,705$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.4853355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Solary52c2,301$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.0211060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Solary1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201095.5%6 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports63c1,469$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.071,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Misa Esports60c1,448$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.0323754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Solary64c1,425$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.2876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports71c1,312$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.511,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Misa Esports73c1,287$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4617150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Misa Esports61c1,265$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Solary1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Solary47c1,150$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.51,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary6c1,105$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.351,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Solary2c1,050$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Misa Esports64c999.98$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7514248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Solary52c977.44$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6183560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Misa Esports55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.852,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa3…4e0ebacked Solary5c954.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.342347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Solary41c934.32$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9223341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Misa Esports70c921.56$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Misa Esports43c915.19$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5535346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Misa Esports38c901.88$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6327254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Solary24c802.82$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8151044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Solary1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d84…2a04backed Solary14c783.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.544365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Misa Esports49c771.79$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports47c753.4$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.493,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Solary40c736.59$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Solary51c712.68$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.212,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Solary39c675.86$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.582,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Solary16c622.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2733040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Solary65c600.08$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Solary24c574.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0330731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Misa Esports45c541.75$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.651,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Solary12c539.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0582953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary39c529.89$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Solary13c528.58$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0173237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Solary18c528.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Solary43c509.86$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.484656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Solary35c508.59$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0161045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Solary46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports73c499.11$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.971,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports61c493.56$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.532,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Misa Esports65c489.44$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.281,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Solary51c485.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6860538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Solary39c481.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8624137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe96f…2a08backed Solary53c479.96$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Misa Esports60c470.54$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.531,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Solary57c461.5$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0319860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Misa Esports65c461.45$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.415541.9%65 W · 90 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports60c457.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.952,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Misa Esports62c449.51$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.815637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Misa Esports39c447.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8917840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Misa Esports69c440$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.413752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd534…c920backed Solary3c426.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Solary5c417.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7626937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25a2…3b2fbacked Solary40c409.3$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.985922%13 W · 46 L-9.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Misa Esports60c400$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Misa Esports45c399.93$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9637039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…c9ccbacked Solary54c361.88$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4510851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Solary50c359.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.581,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Solary55c354.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Misa Esports72c341.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1610760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Solary45c310.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.842429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Solary54c309.95$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0540435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…8266backed Solary18c300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315135.1%53 W · 98 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Solary4c299.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1275738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Solary16c299.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Misa Esports73c295.54$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2822867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Solary19c288.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.772846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Solary12c283$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.149739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826c…cd27backed Misa Esports41c282.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.148245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Solary45c269.12$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1932566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Solary43c268.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6224041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed Solary40c266.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Solary43c259.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5621844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Solary31c259.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.331,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Solary40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Solary59c249.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.38938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Solary9c245$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6643040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Solary54c243.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Solary55c243.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9950646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Misa Esports62c237.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8835164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa386…2455backed Solary51c236.43$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Solary51c234.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.722740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ed2…2e4dbacked Solary51c233.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Solary45c224.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7925340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.