TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Solary, Misa Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Solary1c8,888$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.212844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Misa Esports52c6,133$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.2153355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Solary40c5,652$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.228458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Misa Esports58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Solary41c4,735$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.2418554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Solary46c4,166$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.232,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Solary42c4,150$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.6132440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Misa Esports61c3,781$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Misa Esports59c3,699$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.1567250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Misa Esports54c3,516$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.7367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports59c3,318$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.9766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports52c3,169$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.762,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Solary33c3,159$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.861045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7097…e1debacked Solary54c3,050$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6479450%47 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Solary49c2,390$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.9169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Solary48c2,370$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.5954246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Solary49c2,339$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.8385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports67c2,249$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.672,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Solary50c1,991$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.5889943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Misa Esports56c1,732$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.4815062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Solary46c1,552$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Solary49c1,418$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9150749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Solary56c1,345$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.9295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Solary46c1,322$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4239246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Solary45c1,245$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.9932941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Solary49c1,240$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4435346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Solary51c1,195$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.515343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports58c1,183$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.71,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Solary47c1,091$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.551,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Solary7c1,050$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Solary44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Solary40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Misa Esports55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.852,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Misa Esports52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.259962.6%62 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Misa Esports58c749.99$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.514248.6%69 W · 73 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Solary43c696.55$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.5596250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports53c671.49$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.363,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Solary58c615.59$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9127254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Solary49c593.95$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3850646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Misa Esports60c592.53$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ad…2267backed Misa Esports59c585.24$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0217150.9%87 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Misa Esports52c584.29$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.461,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Solary38c547.64$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9413752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Solary45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Solary44c478.57$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.577736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports67c475.39$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.042,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Solary41c468.35$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9451044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Misa Esports58c462.67$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0750647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Solary43c441.85$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1115541.9%65 W · 90 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Misa Esports58c425.49$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.711,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Misa Esports60c406.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6782953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports51c401.71$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.81,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Solary27c367.94$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6254944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Misa Esports53c352.86$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1510760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Solary46c348.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.64656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Misa Esports59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5626246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports67c319.28$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.011,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Misa Esports74c295.53$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.326164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Solary46c271.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.079230.4%28 W · 64 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0677…e865backed Solary11c264.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.289238%35 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Misa Esports80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.413652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Misa Esports57c222.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3255744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports44c220.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.651,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe1e…6b97backed Solary57c219.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.946253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Solary23c210.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4840435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Solary45c209.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Solary50c207.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.349743.3%42 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Solary45c207.21$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.272429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Solary43c206.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.881,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Misa Esports47c201.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6769841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Misa Esports50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10068443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Misa Esports58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Solary42c199.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.641,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Solary49c196.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.548652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Misa Esports57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7816654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Misa Esports57c194.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7866947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed Misa Esports55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5719157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Misa Esports52c187.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2935164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Misa Esports52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6568942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports60c186.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.841,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Solary22c184.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2526937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Solary50c183.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.292245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary48c183.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.362,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Misa Esports56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.595048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed Solary57c169.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4511258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa8b…c9ccbacked Solary58c167.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports63c164.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.812,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Solary41c158.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1216850.6%85 W · 83 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Misa Esports55c145.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6853649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Solary34c139.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0362739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Misa Esports58c136.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5892342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Solary31c129.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.491,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Misa Esports59c123.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8480150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x102c…7b22backed Misa Esports60c119.61$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.846168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Solary50c114.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1116950.3%85 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd989…dcbabacked Misa Esports59c112.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5516863.7%107 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Solary38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Misa Esports67c104.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6174949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Solary32c101.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.631,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Solary41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.