CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4d3f964c7f845c8f3eba87a39500af044d410bd0e6f2b171a926c423996e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 50c | 4,881$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 66c | 3,758$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.14 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Ursa | 55c | 3,499$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.41 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Ursa | 55c | 3,111$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.08 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Ursa | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ASTRAL | 46c | 2,098$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.7 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Ursa | 55c | 1,776$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.79 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked ASTRAL | 49c | 1,461$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.82 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 1,039$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.68 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Ursa | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 881.2$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.4 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 39c | 773.55$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 49c | 750.65$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ASTRAL | 47c | 742.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 34c | 730.48$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ASTRAL | 49c | 713.79$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.83 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed ASTRAL | 48c | 620.38$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.94 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Ursa | 55c | 618.21$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Ursa | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASTRAL | 52c | 510.28$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ASTRAL | 45c | 492.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Ursa | 67c | 489.86$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Ursa | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 62c | 382.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed ASTRAL | 59c | 352.14$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed ASTRAL | 50c | 324.34$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed ASTRAL | 50c | 301.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ursa | 49c | 299.22$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ASTRAL | 44c | 280$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.94 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed ASTRAL | 49c | 242.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ASTRAL | 51c | 241$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Ursa | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ASTRAL | 45c | 215.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed ASTRAL | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ASTRAL | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed ASTRAL | 60c | 171.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Ursa | 59c | 156.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Ursa | 51c | 152.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ursa | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Ursa | 55c | 149.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Ursa | 67c | 147.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…cb78backed Ursa | 67c | 129.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked ASTRAL | 49c | 126.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed ASTRAL | 55c | 122.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed ASTRAL | 43c | 114.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed ASTRAL | 44c | 112.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed ASTRAL | 44c | 112.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 110.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ASTRAL | 33c | 109.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed ASTRAL | 45c | 108.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ASTRAL | 44c | 100.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…68a7backed Ursa | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed ASTRAL | 38c | 97.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ASTRAL | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed ASTRAL | 47c | 95.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed ASTRAL | 44c | 93.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 37c | 82.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 62c | 82.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ursa | 47c | 78.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed ASTRAL | 54c | 75.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed ASTRAL | 34c | 73.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ASTRAL | 56c | 73.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 68.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…f736backed ASTRAL | 45c | 66.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Ursa | 60c | 64.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked ASTRAL | 33c | 63.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ASTRAL | 34c | 51.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Ursa | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Ursa | 23c | 45.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Ursa | 64c | 39.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ASTRAL | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed ASTRAL | 45c | 32.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Ursa | 69c | 31.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Ursa | 71c | 30.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Ursa | 58c | 27.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed ASTRAL | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Ursa | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Ursa | 58c | 22.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…826dbacked Ursa | 63c | 20.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ursa | 62c | 20.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Ursa | 59c | 19.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Ursa | 70c | 19.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.