CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee3e1206111de4c0de0fb7cf1c14a73b3d404843a11c061555029fdbc50fedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperial Academyof Imperial Academy, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial Academy | 37c | 3,946$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Infinite | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…b933backed Infinite | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Infinite | 2c | 2,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Infinite | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Infinite | 70c | 2,186$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial Academy | 30c | 1,997$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Infinite | 1c | 1,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 5cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Infinite | 58c | 1,637$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.66 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Infinite | 74c | 1,358$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.36 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Infinite | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Imperial Academy | 33c | 1,135$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.21 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Infinite | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Infinite | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Infinite | 2c | 950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…5d4ebacked Infinite | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Infinite | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial Academy | 31c | 695.18$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.34 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Infinite | 76c | 648.75$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.79 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Infinite | 2c | 575$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Infinite | 78c | 552.61$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…b7e5backed Imperial Academy | 21c | 533.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Infinite | 78c | 527.94$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Infinite | 55c | 527.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.16 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Imperial Academy | 21c | 509.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b1aebacked Infinite | 6c | 505$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Imperial Academy | 9c | 438.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.37 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial Academy | 28c | 358.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Imperial Academy | 21c | 275.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Imperial Academy | 20c | 249.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Infinite | 4c | 247.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Imperial Academy | 15c | 245.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Imperial Academy | 43c | 226.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Imperial Academy | 21c | 220.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 205.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…caefbacked Imperial Academy | 45c | 205.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 205.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 205.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Infinite | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Imperial Academy | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 182.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Imperial Academy | 11c | 179.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed Imperial Academy | 24c | 167.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Imperial Academy | 40c | 165.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Imperial Academy | 18c | 163.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Infinite | 69c | 163.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Imperial Academy | 29c | 156.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial Academy | 26c | 149.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Imperial Academy | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Infinite | 55c | 130.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Imperial Academy | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…f736backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 123.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Imperial Academy | 74c | 121.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed Imperial Academy | 42c | 119.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Imperial Academy | 17c | 108.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Imperial Academy | 16c | 107.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Infinite | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial Academy | 11c | 96.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Imperial Academy | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Imperial Academy | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Infinite | 68c | 79.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Infinite | 56c | 75.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Imperial Academy | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Imperial Academy | 25c | 51.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Infinite | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Infinite | 56c | 49.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Infinite | 77c | 48.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Infinite | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Infinite | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Imperial Academy | 29c | 38.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Infinite | 55c | 34.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Infinite | 78c | 29.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 66c | 28.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Infinite | 55c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Infinite | 56c | 26.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Infinite | 80c | 20.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Infinite | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…09bfbacked Infinite | 56c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerImperial Academy won
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Imperial Academy (+1.5)Imperial Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.