CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Imperial Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d32dbe17aceae04ffe60e8a359e6df961ad88cc54aa0bc586466012cf40d80b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperial Academyof Infinite, Imperial Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Infinite | 52c | 1,747$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.36 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Imperial Academy | 47c | 523.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 352.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Infinite | 54c | 272.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Imperial Academy | 50c | 213.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Imperial Academy | 46c | 192.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed Imperial Academy | 45c | 131.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…2b82backed Imperial Academy | 49c | 121.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9aa2backed Imperial Academy | 50c | 120.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Imperial Academy | 50c | 120.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Imperial Academy | 49c | 110.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed Imperial Academy | 46c | 69.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Imperial Academy | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Infinite | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…34bcbacked Imperial Academy | 50c | 26.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Infinite | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Imperial Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsImperial Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerImperial Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.