TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No60c29,388$17,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,730.878,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes52c21,962$11,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,375.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes43c16,186$6,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,893.0630841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c13,590$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.5382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c10,158$5,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.052,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes42c8,381$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,553.93928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes37c8,308$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.3530847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c7,494$3,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.181,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No66c6,771$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.476355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No61c4,879$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.718337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c4,801$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c3,550$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.025,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes42c2,966$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.832433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No62c2,860$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.9165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No58c2,746$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes36c2,651$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.761758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c2,557$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.11,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes52c2,404$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.469562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes42c2,090$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.6512541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes50c2,045$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.291520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes42c2,028$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.4728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c1,854$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.4131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c1,671$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.231,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No75c1,526$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.6136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes37c1,250$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c1,182$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.431,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes33c1,136$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes45c1,118$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c1,114$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes48c1,041$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2815326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No58c1,025$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.4811856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes27c1,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No49c999.46$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.1510846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes36c956.85$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.463762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x216b…1376backed Yes44c936.61$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes32c899.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes45c888.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.996955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c862.92$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.71,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes42c859.94$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.18616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes44c836.32$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes36c801.33$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4811855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c799.99$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No62c791.26$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.736757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes47c791.04$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.791936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes34c785.27$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.992429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No54c760.48$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.825062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes43c742.27$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.215935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c736.36$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.981,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No67c687.6$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c7…d727backed No55c663.85$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.453053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No64c599.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9911963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes47c594.66$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.496048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.961050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.963315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No48c545.65$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes40c541.01$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.014456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes47c514.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.922951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No62c510.22$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6215956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes47c505.59$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6316262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No64c457.7$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16b…cd12backed Yes33c445.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No62c438.8$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c438.38$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes47c429.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.828268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes50c428.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.378447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No44c423.43$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3810564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes34c421.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.343831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.647852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes50c398.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.038149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No48c393.33$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.536357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes39c378.71$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.711,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c377.01$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes48c376.01$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.352951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc00…b850backed Yes49c375.28$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No60c367.92$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.334461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes45c365.06$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4937540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed No65c355.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.192445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No64c348.81$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2916759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes36c336.94$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.793953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes48c334.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes38c309.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.595145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes47c304$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c302.17$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.11,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No56c301.09$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.733066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aae…d605backed Yes50c286.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No66c274.34$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2828851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c271.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.641,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes56c253.41$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.337951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No68c242.96$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.222774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No65c233$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5521345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes55c218.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9719056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.711819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No60c214.19$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.823225%8 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.