Champions League · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88dda523ef0d8f9e1881b7c7e56c15b05c5d970815beec46cbc42683ef7e9913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Over | 46c | 1,043$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 54c | 528.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 54c | 353.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 53c | 330.87$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Over | 44c | 293.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 249.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 243.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Over | 46c | 210.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 43c | 150.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 56c | 149.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 142.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 44c | 110.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 45c | 108.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 46c | 105.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 85.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 45c | 65.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 43c | 44.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…0280backed Over | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 41c | 38.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Under | 59c | 31.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Under | 57c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…f1f6backed Over | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0412backed Over | 40c | 26.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.