NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d461eb9ff5596d2e051c0432359b4126ad9a12bbe502d969e967e0ba4f323d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,943 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 139,665$73,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,654.24 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 67,928$31,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,944.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 48c | 35,109$16,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,256.67 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 19,174$8,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,354.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 15,264$7,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,089.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 47c | 9,727$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.03 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…4ff5backed Under | 46c | 5,712$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 5,500$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 4,997$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 4,792$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under | 47c | 4,750$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 56c | 4,545$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.2 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 4,416$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 2,874$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.43 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…29fdbacked Over | 54c | 2,082$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 49c | 1,980$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.83 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…9690backed Over | 54c | 1,872$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…8ca2backed Over | 54c | 1,758$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,191$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.35 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 54c | 1,079$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 49c | 1,064$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.92 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 989.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 718.64$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 630$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 580.49$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 551.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 47c | 539.31$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 470.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 50c | 469.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 467.65$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 49c | 425.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 405.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 395.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 394.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 47c | 382.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 47c | 349$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 70c | 342.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 335$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 263.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 57c | 244.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 241.85$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 55c | 218.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 48c | 208.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 49c | 204.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 48c | 196.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 54c | 196.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 193.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 58c | 184.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 48c | 179.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…07e8backed Under | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7145…7fdcbacked Under | 47c | 164$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…7adabacked Under | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…da72backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…4f00backed Under | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 50c | 140.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 52c | 137.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 135.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…49e0backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 128.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…c591backed Under | 48c | 111.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Under | 47c | 109.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 46c | 94.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 53c | 93.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 89.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 82.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…7bd6backed Over | 31c | 82.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Under | 49c | 73.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 24c | 71.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…69b3backed Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…46c0backed Over | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 48c | 62.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 40c | 61.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 56c | 59.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 54.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c2…9b1ebacked Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…65edbacked Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…a8b0backed Over | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 50.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.