TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,943 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c139,665$73,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,654.2487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c67,928$31,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,944.514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under48c35,109$16,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,256.6730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under46c19,174$8,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,354.9543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c15,264$7,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,089.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under47c9,727$4,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.038444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c6,300$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3391,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ade…4ff5backed Under46c5,712$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c5,500$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c4,997$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under48c4,792$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.6718349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Under47c4,750$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.031346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over56c4,545$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over54c4,416$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.791,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c4,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c2,874$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.4387750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdeb…29fdbacked Over54c2,082$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under49c1,980$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1b…9690backed Over54c1,872$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.88425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…8ca2backed Over54c1,758$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c1,110$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.352,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5838747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over54c1,079$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.661,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Under49c1,064$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c989.99$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c718.64$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c630$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c580.49$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under47c551.61$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under47c539.31$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2726034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26519147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c470.19$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.354,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over50c469.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9616338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c467.65$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.441,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under49c425.62$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4513954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c405.89$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.571,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20077549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c395.2$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c394.8$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.963,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under47c382.92$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under47c349$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9710940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c342.84$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over56c335$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.624955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over53c263.07$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over57c244.3$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2513037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over56c241.85$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.441,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over55c218.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7664944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under48c208.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7519950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over49c204.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.069524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over48c196.67$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.46543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c196.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c193.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.112,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under58c184.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.618242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under48c179.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3522048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4100…07e8backed Under48c169$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7145…7fdcbacked Under47c164$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x612d…7adabacked Under48c153$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5e…da72backed Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27fc…4f00backed Under47c143$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over50c140.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over52c137.23$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.367843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c135.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5140546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a95…49e0backed Under47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c128.71$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa845…c591backed Under48c111.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Under47c109.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under46c94.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over53c93.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over55c91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0520140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…274bbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over53c89.16$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c82.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7311…7bd6backed Over31c82.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7045…f88bbacked Under49c73.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.682259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over24c71.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7b07…69b3backed Over54c68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f54…46c0backed Over54c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under48c62.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3823950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under40c61.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c59.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c54.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.785,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c2…9b1ebacked Over54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb39…65edbacked Over54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc09…a8b0backed Over54c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over54c50.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.