TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,853 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Warriors47c179,114$84,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,146.6987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks52c62,156$32,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,321.122,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks53c32,580$17,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,267.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks53c25,601$13,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,568.531,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks53c24,036$12,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,739.141,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Knicks55c22,518$12,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,384.8817249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Knicks53c13,356$7,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,078.7711653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Warriors45c12,611$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,936.1120948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors46c8,713$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.0687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors45c8,216$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.6456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Warriors47c7,400$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9229629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Knicks52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks53c5,364$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks52c5,068$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.422,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks53c4,813$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks52c4,472$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors48c3,807$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.5223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks52c3,324$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Warriors44c3,147$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.2128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks54c3,107$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Knicks14c2,899$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.867759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Knicks56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Knicks53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks53c1,769$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.132,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks53c1,608$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks56c1,419$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.8485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors44c1,347$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3216039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Knicks53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks52c1,131$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.2448957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks53c1,117$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.6626034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Knicks54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Warriors48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.631,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48695848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Knicks52c800$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Warriors47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.314450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks53c609.01$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8145151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Knicks52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Knicks52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Warriors49c567.35$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3532450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Warriors45c546.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6716147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Warriors55c546.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors45c464$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Knicks54c442.59$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2395345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Warriors49c420.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2737747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Warriors48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Knicks53c378$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3419852%103 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Knicks51c352.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Warriors44c346$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks42c339.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.612,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Warriors48c252.8$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3751438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks40c250.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.931,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Warriors50c238.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7415534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks54c235$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.92,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Knicks46c226.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.249458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Warriors45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908e…2291backed Warriors47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b4…05babacked Warriors47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+335.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors54c211.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.423,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors48c208.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Knicks54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Knicks39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks53c192$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9403…e62dbacked Warriors48c186$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors75c185$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Warriors48c166.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1848739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Warriors45c157.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5145452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks48c155.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5936…10b5backed Warriors49c155$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Warriors47c148.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks54c144.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Knicks54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff15…3e85backed Warriors48c136$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Warriors47c135$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.522336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked Knicks30c132.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406137.7%23 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Knicks54c127.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Knicks34c117.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.782254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdade…8e37backed Warriors49c112.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.195939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Warriors47c105.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1753453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Knicks49c102.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.039524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Knicks56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Warriors49c97.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9618143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Knicks54c94.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Knicks54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Warriors70c86.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4646…04d9backed Knicks54c81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Knicks54c78.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.644959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Knicks49c77.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.011376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Knicks52c76.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Warriors47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.474845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Warriors47c70.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4317643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b97…1e7dbacked Knicks54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Warriors62c68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Knicks52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf41…fe4dbacked Knicks52c67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668a…04d1backed Warriors53c66.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.564238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c14…2f42backed Knicks52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Knicks52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Knicks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.