NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b727c57046084f3682bc516e2834a1f2b747aebe825aa54fd1eef5e9cadcad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,853 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 47c | 179,114$84,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,146.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 52c | 62,156$32,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,321.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 53c | 32,580$17,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,267.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 53c | 25,601$13,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,568.53 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 53c | 24,036$12,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,739.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Knicks | 55c | 22,518$12,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,384.88 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Knicks | 53c | 13,356$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.77 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Warriors | 45c | 12,611$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,936.11 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 46c | 8,713$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.06 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 45c | 8,216$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.64 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Warriors | 47c | 7,400$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Knicks | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 53c | 5,364$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 52c | 5,068$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.42 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks | 53c | 4,813$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 52c | 4,472$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 48c | 3,807$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.52 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 52c | 3,324$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Warriors | 44c | 3,147$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.21 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 54c | 3,107$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Knicks | 14c | 2,899$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.86 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Knicks | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Knicks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,769$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 53c | 1,608$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 56c | 1,419$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.84 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors | 44c | 1,347$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.32 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks | 52c | 1,131$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,117$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.66 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Knicks | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks | 54c | 900$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Knicks | 52c | 800$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Warriors | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks | 53c | 609.01$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Knicks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Knicks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Warriors | 49c | 567.35$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Warriors | 45c | 546.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Warriors | 55c | 546.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.13 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 464$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Knicks | 54c | 442.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 49c | 420.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Warriors | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Knicks | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Knicks | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 44c | 346$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 42c | 339.41$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Warriors | 48c | 252.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 40c | 250.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Warriors | 50c | 238.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Knicks | 46c | 226.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Warriors | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Warriors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…05babacked Warriors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +335.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 54c | 211.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Warriors | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Knicks | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Knicks | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 53c | 192$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…e62dbacked Warriors | 48c | 186$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 75c | 185$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Warriors | 48c | 166.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Warriors | 45c | 157.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 48c | 155.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…10b5backed Warriors | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Warriors | 47c | 148.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks | 54c | 144.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Knicks | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff15…3e85backed Warriors | 48c | 136$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Warriors | 47c | 135$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Knicks | 30c | 132.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Knicks | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4e76backed Knicks | 34c | 117.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Warriors | 49c | 112.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Knicks | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Warriors | 47c | 105.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Knicks | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Knicks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Warriors | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Knicks | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Knicks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Warriors | 70c | 86.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…04d9backed Knicks | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Knicks | 54c | 78.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Knicks | 49c | 77.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Knicks | 52c | 76.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Warriors | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Warriors | 47c | 70.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…1e7dbacked Knicks | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Warriors | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Knicks | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…fe4dbacked Knicks | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…04d1backed Warriors | 53c | 66.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…2f42backed Knicks | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Knicks | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Knicks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.