CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d2933c9884e6d09b2438c985797468231d554e72c2bfe3aeb739bb1da40136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, ESC Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ESC Gaming | 33c | 3,299$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 1,763$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed ESC Gaming | 35c | 894.54$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.09 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 762.13$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 698.16$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 682.75$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ESC Gaming | 32c | 671.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ESC Gaming | 30c | 614.12$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 610.4$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 382.16$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 309.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 257$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…da18backed ESC Gaming | 36c | 187.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 179.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed ESC Gaming | 42c | 144.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed ESC Gaming | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 140.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 107.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ESC Gaming | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 90.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed ESC Gaming | 48c | 72.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ESC Gaming | 38c | 62.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…c2f5backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 60.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ESC Gaming | 29c | 44.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ESC Gaming | 35c | 41.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 34.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ESC Gaming | 39c | 25.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 24.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…0751backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.