NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5304e64c8f5a7477744aec22bca52bb6714cb499750de80cb38c2f40a0b6244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 57c | 385,574$219,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,845.06 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 117,949$50,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,764.9 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 43c | 97,066$41,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,738.55 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 43c | 79,447$34,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,162.04 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 46c | 24,606$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400.1 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 46c | 15,218$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 46c | 6,767$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 6,313$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.46 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 6,168$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.98 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 43c | 5,172$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.81 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Under | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 3,892$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.19 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 3,175$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.22 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 44c | 1,957$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,902$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Over | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 44c | 1,046$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 1,041$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 999.97$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 923$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 45c | 772.17$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 751.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 698.25$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 671.75$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 585.92$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 564.17$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 44c | 500.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.72 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 43c | 463.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 407$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 38c | 334.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 326.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 318.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 56c | 293.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 80c | 278.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 52c | 264.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…0e76backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Under | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 44c | 218.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 213.1$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 43c | 201.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Over | 56c | 178.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 168.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 46c | 163.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 162.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 10c | 156.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked Under | 55c | 154.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 44c | 150.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 62c | 128.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…b96dbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 43c | 101.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 55c | 101.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…063bbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 97.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 44c | 91.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 54c | 84.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 49c | 84.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Over | 68c | 78.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 43c | 75.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…ab74backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 26c | 68.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 58c | 63.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…9481backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 52c | 58.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 57.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 48c | 55.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 52c | 54.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 55c | 54.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Over | 56c | 53.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 46c | 52.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 50.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. CanadiensDucks won
- Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.