Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7295a794b618cca3c06ad17219d932a0b83e86871a4e7b1fd0a3118b464a9bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 1,687$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.2 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 1,100$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 35c | 1,031$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 996.72$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 989.04$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.04 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 66c | 965.17$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 740.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 729.36$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Over | 64c | 633.22$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 631.72$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 74c | 568.1$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.01 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 391.04$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 355.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 312.59$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 43c | 293.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 61c | 228.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 25c | 217.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 72c | 180.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 56c | 159.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 147.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 72c | 137.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Under | 60c | 121.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 36c | 113.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 41c | 98.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 40c | 97.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 27c | 81.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 80.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 52c | 76.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Under | 30c | 73.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b658backed Over | 46c | 71.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 65c | 67.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 73c | 64.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 27c | 63.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 64c | 57.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Under | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 44c | 54.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 53.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 26c | 45.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 61c | 44.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Over | 46c | 43.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…184dbacked Under | 45c | 42.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 75c | 42.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Under | 42c | 37.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 74c | 33.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…d539backed Under | 49c | 32.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 44c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked Over | 76c | 21.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 65c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Over | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…5b5dbacked Under | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.