Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96ee749cd0e11f1c999285bd793089676a20fa658451e89385e6af04efe80b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 1c | 2,963$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 771.61$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 722.87$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 667.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 631.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.75 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 525.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 384.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed No | 55c | 298.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 40c | 296.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 49c | 197.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Yes | 46c | 161.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Yes | 48c | 133.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 45c | 104.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 54c | 90.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 46c | 77.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 64.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9790…b314backed No | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 46c | 42.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 45c | 39.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 70c | 38.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.