Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91aea627ee5c0615ea3bdebc6822d43955aadbe824b1e54c71d9a4b8b75fb198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AVS Futebolof Sporting CP, AVS Futebol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed AVS Futebol | 35c | 2,107$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.78 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AVS Futebol | 29c | 1,791$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…3167backed Sporting CP | 70c | 852.93$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…bcabbacked Sporting CP | 74c | 834.63$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed AVS Futebol | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Sporting CP | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Sporting CP | 65c | 490.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Sporting CP | 64c | 411.36$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Sporting CP | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed AVS Futebol | 58c | 336.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…1786backed Sporting CP | 71c | 293.87$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Sporting CP | 64c | 291.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AVS Futebol | 26c | 265.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sporting CP | 58c | 243.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sporting CP | 51c | 199.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…67c1backed Sporting CP | 67c | 179.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AVS Futebol | 30c | 173.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Sporting CP | 66c | 172.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…f695backed Sporting CP | 66c | 142.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AVS Futebol | 46c | 141.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Sporting CP | 75c | 131.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Sporting CP | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AVS Futebol | 49c | 101.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Sporting CP | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Sporting CP | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Sporting CP | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sporting CP | 65c | 87.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed AVS Futebol | 25c | 86.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sporting CP | 66c | 79.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Sporting CP | 66c | 79.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Sporting CP | 45c | 77.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed AVS Futebol | 31c | 69.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Sporting CP | 67c | 64.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Sporting CP | 67c | 64.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 61.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed Sporting CP | 65c | 60.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sporting CP | 64c | 60.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked AVS Futebol | 35c | 58.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Sporting CP | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Sporting CP | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AVS Futebol | 35c | 48.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sporting CP | 72c | 47.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Sporting CP | 66c | 45.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Sporting CP | 66c | 44.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AVS Futebol | 26c | 44.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Sporting CP | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Sporting CP | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Sporting CP | 39c | 35.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Sporting CP | 74c | 32.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Sporting CP | 51c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Sporting CP | 66c | 29.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Sporting CP | 66c | 29.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Sporting CP | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Sporting CP | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sporting CP | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Sporting CP | 66c | 22.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed AVS Futebol | 48c | 21.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…1d9ebacked Sporting CP | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sporting CP | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Sporting CP | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…7536backed Sporting CP | 66c | 19.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Sporting CP | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Sporting CP | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.