Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ae95e2a2cf76c3b53accf2ecad02305cbaa268f11eae371680a3466edfb1199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 3,017$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,975$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 77c | 1,756$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 64c | 1,577$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.33 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 62c | 789.15$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 15c | 525.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 373.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 305.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 21c | 301.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 32c | 287.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 9c | 282.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 10c | 236.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 153.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 78c | 128.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Over | 63c | 93.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 31c | 64.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 39c | 49.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 49.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 23c | 44.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 70c | 40.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…e6dbbacked Over | 62c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…dd3fbacked Over | 61c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 73c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.