Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e14617d6ad008050aee89da8b37d4ebba815c95d553bcbb33a126993dc075e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 3,946$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 1,778$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.19 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 690.42$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 582.42$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 444.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 27c | 333.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 22c | 323.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 299.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 50c | 145.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 127.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 96.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 27c | 58.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 53.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 22c | 47.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 47c | 45.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 44.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 54c | 35.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 35.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 51c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…6003backed Under | 75c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 54c | 24.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 46c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d36…97f7backed Under | 80c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.