TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61ab…35d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.36
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.58
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$137.72
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.35
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,723Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,340.96
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$163.23
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$184.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$26.36
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$203.97
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.19
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigersbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,000.89
Club Necaxa vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$614.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$377.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$149.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.