MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39cdb74f34df023bd83afcda210e97022d36fdecdd54ae58030bf722c251c8d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof LG Twins, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 54c | 5,068$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.46 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 2,972$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed LG Twins | 52c | 1,683$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.7 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked LG Twins | 33c | 1,513$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.38 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 1,413$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.79 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 1,363$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.64 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 805.39$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 37c | 735.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked LG Twins | 47c | 623.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 42c | 517.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed LG Twins | 54c | 450.56$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked LG Twins | 35c | 418.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 376.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 364.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 363.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed LG Twins | 55c | 301.63$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 287.65$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 284.27$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 273.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 43c | 203.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 202.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 53c | 201.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 46c | 162.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 144.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 124.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4642backed LG Twins | 53c | 113.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LG Twins | 35c | 112.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 109.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 102.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed LG Twins | 25c | 75.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked LG Twins | 40c | 72.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 67.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 65.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 64.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 63.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 48.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed LG Twins | 46c | 42.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 40.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 34.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked LG Twins | 53c | 30.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…850dbacked LG Twins | 48c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 52c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked LG Twins | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked LG Twins | 51c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…c01dbacked LG Twins | 50c | 21.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.