MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d7a273249bbc1e022b8498bb7fa7c6cf0aa847d745c90af8c3af753b253617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 47c | 8,857$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.76 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 51c | 2,688$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.16 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed KT Wiz | 49c | 1,712$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.97 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed KT Wiz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed KT Wiz | 63c | 816.9$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KT Wiz | 65c | 560.39$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 46c | 505.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed KT Wiz | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed KT Wiz | 51c | 459.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KT Wiz | 50c | 407$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed KT Wiz | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 333.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed KT Wiz | 51c | 331$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed KT Wiz | 55c | 300.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 294.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 260.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed KT Wiz | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 225.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed KT Wiz | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 74c | 187$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 51c | 173.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 48c | 169.54$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed KT Wiz | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 26c | 157.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed KT Wiz | 50c | 154.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 24c | 129.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Kia Tigers | 36c | 116.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 104.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…bfdabacked KT Wiz | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 86.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 81.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…c0c6backed Kia Tigers | 14c | 80.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 79.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed KT Wiz | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 38c | 74.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 71.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed KT Wiz | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…d929backed KT Wiz | 51c | 68.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked KT Wiz | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed KT Wiz | 50c | 66.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 61c | 61.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Kia Tigers | 30c | 59.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed KT Wiz | 50c | 52.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed KT Wiz | 50c | 42.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Kia Tigers | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c9e5backed KT Wiz | 49c | 27.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 22.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed KT Wiz | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed KT Wiz | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.