MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52342dca1f094d788d5b2c718d5d8a48e72b64519d506e0a8dc7cdf82808d02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 62c | 549.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 36c | 543.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed LG Twins | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked NC Dinos | 42c | 477.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed NC Dinos | 38c | 445$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed NC Dinos | 19c | 420.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked NC Dinos | 5c | 374$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed LG Twins | 64c | 352.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NC Dinos | 7c | 292.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 38c | 279.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NC Dinos | 31c | 268.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 62c | 242.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked NC Dinos | 28c | 179.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NC Dinos | 38c | 167.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed NC Dinos | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked NC Dinos | 30c | 128.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked LG Twins | 63c | 111.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed NC Dinos | 39c | 111.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 75c | 88.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked LG Twins | 64c | 83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…dd58backed LG Twins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NC Dinos | 20c | 76.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NC Dinos | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 79c | 72.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked LG Twins | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed NC Dinos | 38c | 59.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed LG Twins | 63c | 41.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…f8fdbacked LG Twins | 67c | 35.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed LG Twins | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed NC Dinos | 37c | 31.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed LG Twins | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…0728backed LG Twins | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed LG Twins | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LG Twins | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed LG Twins | 64c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.