MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00ece96c385a0048595362f84c4b179f33f56a9d0ef0f9ad7b625b1944bb7ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof KT Wiz, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 65c | 2,685$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked KT Wiz | 52c | 2,102$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 69c | 1,790$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.59 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked KT Wiz | 34c | 1,420$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.66 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed KT Wiz | 17c | 771.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 71c | 627.91$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed KT Wiz | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed SSG Landers | 49c | 481.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KT Wiz | 14c | 305.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked KT Wiz | 40c | 283.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 16c | 190.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 66c | 179.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 178.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 176.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 47c | 158.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SSG Landers | 47c | 151.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed SSG Landers | 45c | 149.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed SSG Landers | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 76c | 108.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed SSG Landers | 72c | 83.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SSG Landers | 64c | 81.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 77.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed SSG Landers | 48c | 75.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed SSG Landers | 50c | 73.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…35d7backed SSG Landers | 45c | 73.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed SSG Landers | 45c | 73.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed SSG Landers | 42c | 73.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…8c6ebacked SSG Landers | 48c | 68.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 43c | 67.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 24c | 62.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 32c | 61.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 48c | 59.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed KT Wiz | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…1462backed KT Wiz | 58c | 56.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 50c | 52.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed KT Wiz | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed SSG Landers | 69c | 47.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked SSG Landers | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked SSG Landers | 78c | 39.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed SSG Landers | 78c | 39.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…3fa9backed KT Wiz | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…7ad8backed KT Wiz | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed SSG Landers | 48c | 21.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.