TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc60…af79backed Yes46c3,610$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ffc…8236backed Yes75c2,734$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.83828.9%11 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes40c2,572$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes63c2,426$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.2554934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Yes78c2,154$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5914947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No36c2,140$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76515932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No21c2,090$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.3752850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No12c1,932$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.395932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked No48c1,756$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.4514330.8%44 W · 99 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fec…52a8backed No1c1,703$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca1…9637backed No47c1,683$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No12c1,547$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.812020%4 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+93.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7905…a886backed No12c1,466$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.87147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes73c1,344$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5309…4c9cbacked No33c1,119$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No17c966.9$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1588448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe43d…f095backed No62c966.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes78c956.1$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2910151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed No15c951.96$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.488854.5%48 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked No17c906.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes44c826.14$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5220538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad5…83afbacked No16c816.25$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No39c809.44$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.425317%9 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes42c647.41$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.4116746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed No14c630.67$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.08219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No11c582.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No13c568.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No23c545.42$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.879123.1%21 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No19c530$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.46139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked No16c520$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+188.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes48c505.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.59333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No59c499.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29628434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No24c468.45$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5126355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de9…b0c0backed No53c460$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…4526backed No4c456.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes56c441.86$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4524637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No22c440$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3936055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed No11c438.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508555.3%47 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7db8…8353backed Yes71c344.9$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5a…85a5backed Yes30c337.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.71580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+111.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked No43c331.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9715022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No17c325.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5715355.6%85 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes61c311.67$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.791838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No11c285$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3513243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes18c279.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.027135.2%25 W · 46 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No12c276.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0431152.4%163 W · 148 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed No29c251.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.588142%34 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes42c237.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0313…67dbbacked Yes44c215.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae8…5a42backed No9c205$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed No77c200$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa056…0f70backed Yes47c186.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.622330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe244…da3dbacked No16c183.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No9c176$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.616051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes79c175.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa589…aa13backed No16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No21c170$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.189254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…0609backed Yes54c165.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.618348.6%89 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed No10c154$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.47533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb732…6900backed No24c142$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…438cbacked Yes52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.212556.8%71 W · 54 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes39c138.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.663040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…649dbacked No59c130.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c127.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4939414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2806…13c1backed No12c126.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1539952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4262…abaabacked No70c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9634…aae2backed Yes28c119.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes22c110$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.273432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No20c99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0110734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e6…90f4backed No60c98.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.031060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…ec9ebacked Yes55c98.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ab…35d7backed No70c93.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes33c90.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4913139.7%52 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No48c90.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7499017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xbcb6…b74bbacked Yes32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.38560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+82%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed No63c82.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f96…a226backed No49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaaa…da37backed No62c76.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…b493backed Yes43c75.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes55c74.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6711344.2%50 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.013336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xccb9…f7e7backed Yes80c60.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick75cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked Yes44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No21c59.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.333030%9 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+51.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No46c58.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.815253.8%28 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…87e7backed No50c56.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb71c…6c74backed Yes57c56.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes26c53.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedad…1af7backed Yes38c52.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.032937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0855…32debacked Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7678…ee4fbacked Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd662…aeb5backed Yes46c45.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes53c40.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.924259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.