World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8415a7cdd4542ce6631af109c95c537e9d97dc8007f24d49a80fe9a178f1f786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,037$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 62c | 1,346$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.97 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 33c | 1,087$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.63 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 77c | 1,040$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…d15dbacked Yes | 7c | 704.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 38c | 533.06$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 17c | 469.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 61c | 461.94$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 62c | 306.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc7…90cbbacked Yes | 41c | 295$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 220.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 39c | 215$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…22babacked Yes | 24c | 202.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 40c | 169.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 9c | 162.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 159.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 69c | 129.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…7482backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…71eebacked No | 78c | 116.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…cfb0backed Yes | 28c | 100.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 18c | 99.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 93.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 22c | 82.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…e9fabacked No | 63c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 26c | 78.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…e94dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 35c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 53.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 63c | 45.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…90b0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 37c | 34.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…0e38backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…9828backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…b7dfbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 76c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.