World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71940cff3dba8841c253c8a49e96d85aa9249257c8b7e3934a955b86a3e6457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe617…668ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 6c | 2,546$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 7c | 2,539$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked Yes | 14c | 1,680$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…85a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,316$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,045$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 14c | 937.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 3c | 773.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 11c | 660$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 15c | 631.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 5c | 608$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 39c | 502.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…4b92backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +635.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 11c | 472$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…32a2backed Yes | 71c | 355.28$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 77c | 346.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 51c | 303.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 300.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 11c | 267$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 40c | 247.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 221.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 9c | 183.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…39cebacked Yes | 11c | 182.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…8b00backed Yes | 20c | 176.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 169.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…fc2dbacked Yes | 15c | 164.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 155.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…0e1bbacked Yes | 14c | 144.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2715backed No | 79c | 139.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…1f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 136.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 14c | 127.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…71c0backed No | 45c | 125.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…4967backed Yes | 11c | 115.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…9789backed Yes | 9c | 112.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 12c | 112.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 58c | 83.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…a05ebacked Yes | 51c | 81.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 16c | 78.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…ef06backed No | 41c | 72.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 79c | 56.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 53c | 52.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…dbf7backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…0508backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 57c | 44.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 41.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…c429backed Yes | 56c | 38.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…da3dbacked No | 57c | 35.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…7858backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 69c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Yes | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will Reform UK win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.