TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0855…32de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10249%50 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.9
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.94
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.98
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked DENDELE CS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$25.52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$15.22
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.68
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$49.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$39.75
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+86%+$23.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$29.8
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.16
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.66
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.41
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.27
Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$45.99
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$37.53
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88%+$11.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SUJA LIFE's market cap be between $0.8B and $1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.