Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb291e34235505047bfa11a2c3a65cfa6704973052d5d4c745fb5d5ed5d9c7f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Nigma Galaxy, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 22,398$11,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,495.02 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 47c | 21,390$10,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,329.29 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 55c | 21,375$11,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,648.81 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 20,461$10,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,344.29 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 61c | 16,401$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.77 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 45c | 15,005$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,286.49 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 59c | 9,401$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.65 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 9,282$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.47 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 8,191$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.04 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 7,207$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.57 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed 1win | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 5,147$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.07 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 5,111$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.28 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed 1win | 44c | 4,922$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.21 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 4,883$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.23 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 4,793$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.98 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked 1win | 53c | 4,227$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.5 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 4,009$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.83 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 61c | 4,002$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.92 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked 1win | 45c | 3,932$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.92 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,707$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.77 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 39c | 3,554$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.92 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 3,546$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.85 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 3,526$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,525$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.87 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 1win | 56c | 3,441$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.62 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed 1win | 62c | 3,202$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 3,125$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 3,058$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.61 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 3,001$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.97 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 1win | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,500$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.94 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,427$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,306$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.27 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,299$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.35 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,210$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed 1win | 60c | 2,154$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.39 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 55c | 2,088$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.77 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,030$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.69 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 50c | 2,000$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.99 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,922$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.11 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,897$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.97 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 1,884$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 1,822$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.46 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed 1win | 45c | 1,795$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.02 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,782$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.07 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked 1win | 49c | 1,744$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.16 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,622$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,514$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.52 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,394$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed 1win | 50c | 1,356$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,351$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.45 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 60c | 1,265$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 60c | 1,253$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed 1win | 48c | 1,247$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.39 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,231$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.87 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,191$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.13 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,138$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.02 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 60c | 1,126$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.21 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 1,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 999.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 993.96$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…fb80backed 1win | 44c | 955.75$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed 1win | 50c | 916$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 912.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed 1win | 61c | 902.41$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 867.33$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.52 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 861.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed 1win | 49c | 850$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 40c | 842.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.66 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 825.95$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 799.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 48c | 799.85$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.53 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked 1win | 28c | 789.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.96 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed 1win | 66c | 781.67$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed 1win | 45c | 749.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 747.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.23 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 1win | 59c | 734$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed 1win | 34c | 717.73$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.7 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed 1win | 55c | 642.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.98 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 560.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 558.2$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 553.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 1win | 60c | 551.02$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 1win | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed 1win | 58c | 500.61$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 475.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 49c | 421.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 408.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 401.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.