Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5a638a226cf369615b45937aad6295e6126a80af578fb0d5df2022c0af3d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Nigma Galaxy, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 61c | 31,643$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.78 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed 1win | 67c | 18,741$12,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.07 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 16,516$6,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.88 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 11,766$4,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.61 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 8,007$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.63 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 7,726$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.82 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 60c | 7,666$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.01 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 6,136$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 4,571$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.38 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 4,250$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 3,805$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.04 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.09 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 61c | 3,105$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.6 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 3,058$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.72 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 2,727$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 62c | 2,515$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…8932backed 1win | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 2,466$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.41 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,376$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,368$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.97 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 2,337$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,140$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed 1win | 62c | 1,801$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.33 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 68c | 1,788$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.39 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,750$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,659$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.69 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked 1win | 61c | 1,648$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.21 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 67c | 1,635$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed 1win | 60c | 1,600$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,552$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.05 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,500$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.55 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 1,500$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed 1win | 66c | 1,489$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.13 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,482$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 68c | 1,474$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.06 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 1win | 65c | 1,455$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.83 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,404$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.21 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed 1win | 68c | 1,258$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked 1win | 69c | 1,250$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.36 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 1win | 57c | 1,238$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.34 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,150$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed 1win | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,120$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,101$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.57 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed 1win | 76c | 1,061$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,058$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.09 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 999.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed 1win | 60c | 995.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 984.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 1win | 68c | 974.22$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.49 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 965$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.05 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 1win | 62c | 938.02$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 1win | 72c | 933.63$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.49 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 930.92$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.85 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 70c | 833.87$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked 1win | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 796.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 1win | 58c | 726.67$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.2 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 1win | 60c | 719.89$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked 1win | 75c | 689.77$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 615.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.26 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 575.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed 1win | 68c | 574.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 560.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed 1win | 73c | 560.42$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 71c | 558.22$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked 1win | 69c | 543.98$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.15 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 65c | 531.99$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked 1win | 79c | 530.5$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 494.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21cc…54bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 1win | 75c | 475.1$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 474.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 470.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 469.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed 1win | 64c | 461.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 454.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked 1win | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 57c | 434.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…974bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 426.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 411$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed 1win | 56c | 406.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 400.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 1win | 65c | 399.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 397.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 66c | 380.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked 1win | 66c | 378.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed 1win | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 352.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 350.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.