Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe570f128e13589d40b01f61f8fcc6b664e7214ee86932e4cbcf79700d0eab341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $856,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $856,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 202,803$117,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,332.38 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 147,543$85,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,443.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 43c | 43,392$18,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,793.77 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 42c | 38,613$16,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,187.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Spirit | 46c | 33,672$15,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,471.78 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Spirit | 42c | 31,000$13,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,030 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 11c | 28,200$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 22,278$9,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,723.28 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Spirit | 41c | 19,652$8,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,057.19 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 19,215$7,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 18,983$7,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.66 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 17,500$7,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,475 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Spirit | 43c | 17,079$7,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 41c | 16,781$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.58 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 41c | 14,250$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 13,011$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.58 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 13,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.94 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit | 39c | 12,753$4,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.69 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Spirit | 41c | 12,510$5,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 10,030$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.73 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Spirit | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 9,718$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.18 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 9,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Spirit | 2c | 8,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 8,178$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Spirit | 36c | 7,920$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.11 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 7,720$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Team Spirit | 1c | 7,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 41c | 7,278$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…a256backed Team Spirit | 13c | 7,108$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 7,080$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked TEAM VISION | 54c | 6,420$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.29 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 6,295$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.85 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 76c | 6,277$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.97 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 5,999$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 5,851$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.01 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Spirit | 8c | 5,810$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.42 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 5,713$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.24 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TEAM VISION | 73c | 5,622$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 5,467$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TEAM VISION | 73c | 4,999$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.66 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 20c | 4,765$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.54 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked TEAM VISION | 58c | 4,644$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.69 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 4,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…ad4dbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 4,339$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 4,119$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.68 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION | 78c | 3,619$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.63 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 3,602$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.57 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,596$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 3,383$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.15 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Team Spirit | 9c | 3,324$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 3,283$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Spirit | 15c | 3,000$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.26 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,984$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.82 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 2,955$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 8c | 2,850$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Spirit | 29c | 2,820$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,775$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 20c | 2,662$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.38 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,618$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 2,600$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.18 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked TEAM VISION | 64c | 2,349$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 2,325$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.14 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 35c | 2,300$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 38c | 2,236$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.54 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TEAM VISION | 65c | 2,173$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.59 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 2,135$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.52 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 2,101$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.72 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked TEAM VISION | 74c | 1,990$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.73 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,968$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.65 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,900$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked TEAM VISION | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked TEAM VISION | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,666$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 1,600$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 1,571$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.85 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,556$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.57 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,534$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.6 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Spirit | 9c | 1,530$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Spirit | 26c | 1,490$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 1,375$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.65 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked TEAM VISION | 56c | 1,328$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.07 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 1,299$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.13 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,293$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 1,187$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 1,158$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 25c | 1,110$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.