Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x435209c7b5cbb4e2fda1857ecf6643091a1309cc6850f7d19f6fdd9218fe3de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,576,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,031,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,576,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 283,212$189,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,141.95 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 62c | 95,285$59,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,272.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…eecfbacked Team Spirit | 0c | 90,549$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit | 33c | 62,064$20,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,489.39 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 45,384$14,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,760.85 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit | 33c | 30,000$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked TEAM VISION | 62c | 27,081$16,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,201.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 34c | 26,500$9,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,079.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 37c | 25,904$9,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,659.34 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked TEAM VISION | 66c | 24,574$16,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,234.6 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Spirit | 33c | 20,800$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,864 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 37c | 20,358$7,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.44 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Team Spirit | 35c | 19,251$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Spirit | 30c | 19,199$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.44 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Spirit | 34c | 17,486$5,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,862.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TEAM VISION | 64c | 17,133$10,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Spirit | 38c | 16,999$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Spirit | 37c | 16,666$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.42 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 69c | 16,455$11,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.4 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 16,207$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.58 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Spirit | 36c | 15,000$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit | 37c | 13,625$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Team Spirit | 38c | 13,054$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked TEAM VISION | 66c | 12,954$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.56 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Spirit | 39c | 12,671$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.2 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 12,354$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.95 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…2ad3backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 12,186$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.92 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed TEAM VISION | 75c | 10,665$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.36 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 29c | 10,604$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.84 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Spirit | 32c | 10,281$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.06 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 10,075$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.67 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 10,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked TEAM VISION | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Spirit | 38c | 9,900$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed TEAM VISION | 63c | 9,886$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.62 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed TEAM VISION | 78c | 9,651$7,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 9,526$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 8,800$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 8,100$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Spirit | 28c | 8,060$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.49 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Spirit | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 14c | 7,718$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.76 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked TEAM VISION | 77c | 7,645$5,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.75 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Spirit | 39c | 7,589$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.71 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Spirit | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Spirit | 33c | 7,426$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 7,186$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.53 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 7,097$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.09 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed TEAM VISION | 65c | 7,076$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.69 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed TEAM VISION | 63c | 6,596$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.21 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit | 33c | 6,539$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.87 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked TEAM VISION | 69c | 6,111$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.91 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 36c | 6,085$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.53 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 6,073$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.69 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 6,003$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.36 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 38c | 5,941$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.76 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 5,846$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 39c | 5,750$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.43 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 5,388$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 5,196$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 5,147$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.54 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 5,147$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 5,046$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.75 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed TEAM VISION | 77c | 5,018$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.03 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked TEAM VISION | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.77 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 33c | 4,800$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.95 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TEAM VISION | 66c | 4,576$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.61 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit | 22c | 4,540$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.31 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed TEAM VISION | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 3,960$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked TEAM VISION | 64c | 3,920$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.53 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 24c | 3,845$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.14 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 3,785$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.12 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Spirit | 1c | 3,510$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked TEAM VISION | 78c | 3,404$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.84 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 24c | 3,369$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.44 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 3,269$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.97 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 35c | 3,260$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.85 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked TEAM VISION | 68c | 3,191$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.82 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 3,149$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.41 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 3,138$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Team Spirit | 37c | 3,124$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.01 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 25c | 3,074$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.13 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Spirit | 20c | 3,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Spirit | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Spirit | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Spirit | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Team Spirit | 16c | 2,884$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Team Spirit | 25c | 2,860$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed Team Spirit | 21c | 2,857$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,855$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 33c | 2,815$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 2,747$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 2,672$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.2 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 2,605$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.59 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,580$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.82 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.