TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Nigma Galaxy, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$620,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$646,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed BetBoom Team73c96,738$70,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,203.7212159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team68c60,128$40,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,209.6396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Nigma Galaxy30c29,931$9,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,009.2122644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…fec3backed Nigma Galaxy16c21,814$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.311735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team65c18,550$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,550.381,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Nigma Galaxy26c18,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team76c17,798$13,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.711,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy27c15,962$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.3148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy20c14,692$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy31c14,180$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.2429042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Nigma Galaxy14c13,826$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.4448053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy29c13,757$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.4669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy31c13,500$4,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,23541944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy0c13,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940014.8%59 W · 341 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Nigma Galaxy30c12,453$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Nigma Galaxy26c10,437$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.78258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60027153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy26c8,546$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22225549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed BetBoom Team75c8,500$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.9222663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Nigma Galaxy2c8,285$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9237811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed BetBoom Team70c8,074$5,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.4521158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Nigma Galaxy2c7,868$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2437018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy24c6,841$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.031,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Nigma Galaxy24c6,232$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.5310256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy33c6,165$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.71,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy34c6,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Nigma Galaxy26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy22c5,356$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.971,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Nigma Galaxy4c5,270$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326639.4%26 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Nigma Galaxy4c5,260$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy23c5,209$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.051,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Nigma Galaxy8c5,168$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9510453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BetBoom Team75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25011953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed BetBoom Team66c4,978$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.5214258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nigma Galaxy14c4,928$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70050850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy26c4,789$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.4245139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Nigma Galaxy25c4,772$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.0618446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed Nigma Galaxy35c4,650$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.52429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Nigma Galaxy25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy4c3,917$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16072035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy27c3,782$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03022340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy13c3,635$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5440051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy12c3,561$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8228251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy36c3,556$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9931936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BetBoom Team65c3,382$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.1530357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed Nigma Galaxy15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy18c3,301$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed Nigma Galaxy30c3,190$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.925438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Nigma Galaxy1c3,052$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.621177.7%9 W · 108 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Nigma Galaxy26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed BetBoom Team66c3,000$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.556374.6%47 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd943…8676backed Nigma Galaxy6c2,948$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Nigma Galaxy17c2,946$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team74c2,939$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.1356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Nigma Galaxy30c2,767$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83712740.2%51 W · 76 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy6c2,650$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2137745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…35aebacked BetBoom Team75c2,565$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.72142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy12c2,502$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked BetBoom Team80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50079859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy35c2,300$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.991,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy34c2,212$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2364744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Nigma Galaxy3c2,100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked BetBoom Team70c2,046$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.728360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Nigma Galaxy13c2,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26532445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy2c2,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.86132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b9…c411backed Nigma Galaxy8c1,983$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642025%5 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team70c1,969$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.7650347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team74c1,940$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Nigma Galaxy25c1,932$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48314136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked BetBoom Team64c1,765$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.652462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy30c1,750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Nigma Galaxy16c1,743$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9610651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy33c1,693$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.7743049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy16c1,656$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.011,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5c…d8f2backed Nigma Galaxy1c1,632$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Nigma Galaxy34c1,607$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed BetBoom Team75c1,557$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2535151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Nigma Galaxy22c1,545$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3132548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy36c1,500$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy17c1,491$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.421,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Nigma Galaxy26c1,400$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36431547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Nigma Galaxy20c1,398$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9528044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BetBoom Team79c1,394$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy26c1,380$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Nigma Galaxy22c1,324$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2814943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team74c1,324$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2341351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked BetBoom Team64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43265863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Nigma Galaxy26c1,192$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9156848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Nigma Galaxy13c1,168$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Nigma Galaxy26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009340.9%38 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed BetBoom Team65c1,154$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8514763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12d…dd67backed BetBoom Team75c1,114$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.481291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BetBoom Team72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30827060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Nigma Galaxy18c1,092$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9558152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed BetBoom Team72c1,065$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.25046%23 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2355…4869backed BetBoom Team73c1,064$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3810552.4%55 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Nigma Galaxy26c1,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8860349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team74c1,010$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.635951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332f…1ee8backed Nigma Galaxy35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509253.3%49 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Nigma Galaxy35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.